Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.463034 0.537249 0.618902 0.715317 0.825965 0.948891 1.095730
2025-05-11 0.339370 0.439555 0.561576 0.720715 0.922353 1.168877 1.492689
2025-05-18 0.268801 0.376955 0.518670 0.717079 0.986713 1.339280 1.834056
2025-05-25 0.219776 0.329151 0.481361 0.707214 1.032152 1.480771 2.144779
2025-06-01 0.185217 0.293817 0.453090 0.701646 1.077281 1.620669 2.462407
2025-06-08 0.154386 0.258153 0.417801 0.678624 1.090736 1.712473 2.715725
2025-06-15 0.144011 0.252194 0.425759 0.720871 1.205529 1.963761 3.231091
2025-06-22 0.122806 0.225072 0.396039 0.698324 1.213817 2.049254 3.494049
2025-06-29 0.105535 0.201943 0.369505 0.676882 1.219912 2.129499 3.753321
2025-07-06 0.091843 0.183092 0.347639 0.660167 1.230972 2.217142 4.030822
2025-07-13 0.084501 0.174920 0.343569 0.674239 1.296767 2.402971 4.492985
2025-07-20 0.080727 0.173047 0.350714 0.709441 1.403898 2.670189 5.122458
2025-07-27 0.075081 0.166883 0.349359 0.729130 1.485740 2.902398 5.716094
2025-08-03 0.068574 0.158056 0.341769 0.735843 1.543691 3.096551 6.258895
2025-08-10 0.061879 0.147803 0.329893 0.732192 1.580171 3.252332 6.741257
2025-08-17 0.055452 0.137177 0.315837 0.722130 1.602094 3.380982 7.181069
2025-08-24 0.050158 0.128361 0.304529 0.716450 1.632157 3.527868 7.669721
2025-08-31 0.044188 0.117035 0.286190 0.692965 1.621243 3.589406 7.987602
2025-09-07 0.043394 0.118307 0.296748 0.736063 1.760820 3.977255 9.024156
2025-09-14 0.038459 0.108358 0.279741 0.713062 1.749171 4.041027 9.371079
2025-09-21 0.034164 0.099421 0.264024 0.691188 1.737559 4.103276 9.719273
2025-09-28 0.030612 0.091934 0.250939 0.674136 1.735322 4.185727 10.119085
2025-10-05 0.028970 0.089507 0.250413 0.688492 1.810226 4.449733 10.954791